Sunday April 30, 2017

Wired Founding Editor: Superhuman AI Takeover a "Myth"

Is this guy just being a contrarian, or does he have a point? While a great many people (including so-called experts) talk about the effect that "superhuman artificial intelligence" will have on societyآ—its destruction, particularlyآ—some feel that nobody has bothered to stop and think about the possibility that AI isn’t actually capable of reaching human intelligence. He cites five pillars of assumptions that regularly surround the topic but insists that none of them rest on any sort of solid foundation. These include our capability of even making human intelligence in silicon and expanding intelligence without limits.

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آ…I find the following five heresies to have more evidence to support them. Intelligence is not a single dimension, so "smarter than humans" is a meaningless concept. Humans do not have general purpose minds, and neither will AIs. Emulation of human thinking in other media will be constrained by cost. Dimensions of intelligence are not infinite. Intelligences are only one factor in progress. If the expectation of a superhuman AI takeover is built on five key assumptions that have no basis in evidence, then this idea is more akin to a religious belief آ— a myth.